Repository logo
 
Publication

Species ecological envelopes under climate change scenarios: a case study for the main two wood-production forest species in Portugal

2020Journal article Open access
Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorAlegria, C.M.M.
dc.contributor.authorRoque, Natália
dc.contributor.authorAlbuquerque, M.T.D.
dc.contributor.authorGerassis Davite, Saki
dc.contributor.authorFernandez, Paulo
dc.contributor.authorRibeiro, M.M.A.
dc.date.accessioned2020-09-08T15:02:33Z
dc.date.available2020-09-08T15:02:33Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.description.abstractSpecies ecological envelope maps were obtained for the two main Portuguese wood-production species (Eucalyptus globulus Labill. and Pinus pinaster Aiton) and projected future climate change scenarios. A machine learning approach was used to understand the most influential environmental variables that may explain current species distribution and productivity. Background and Objectives: The aims of the study were: (1) to map species potential suitability areas using ecological envelopes in the present and to project them in the future under climate change scenarios; (2) to map species current distributions; (3) to map species current productivity; and (4) to explore the most influential environmental variables on species current distribution and productivity. Materials and Methods: Climate, elevation data, and soil data sets were used to obtain present and future species ecological envelopes under two climate change scenarios. The o cial land cover maps were used to map species distributions. Forest inventory data were used to map the species productivity by geostatistical techniques. A Bayesian machine learning approach, supported by species distributions and productivity data, was used to explore the most influential environmental variables on species distribution and productivity and to validate species ecological envelopes. Results: The species ecological envelope methodology was found to be robust. Species’ ecological envelopes showed a high potential for both species’ a orestation. In the future, a decrease in the country’s area potentiality was forecasted for both species. The distribution of maritime pine was found to be mainly determined by precipitation-related variables, but the elevation and temperature-related variables were very important to di erentiate species productivity. For eucalypts, species distribution was mainly explained by temperature-related variables, as well as the species productivity. Conclusions: These findings are key to support recommendations for future a orestation and will bring value to policy-makers and environmental authorities in policy formulation under climate change scenarios.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationALEGRIA, C.M.M. [et al.] (2020). Species ecological envelopes under climate change scenarios: a case study for the main two wood-production forest species in Portugal.. Forests. ISSN 1999-4907. 11:8, 880.pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/f11080880pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1999-4907
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/7241
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherMDPIpt_PT
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/11/8/880pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectEcological envelopespt_PT
dc.subjectClimate change scenariospt_PT
dc.subjectSpecies distributionpt_PT
dc.subjectSpecies productivitypt_PT
dc.subjectMachine learningpt_PT
dc.titleSpecies ecological envelopes under climate change scenarios: a case study for the main two wood-production forest species in Portugalpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue8pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage880pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleForestspt_PT
oaire.citation.volume11pt_PT
person.familyNameAlegria
person.familyNameMartins Roque
person.familyNameAlbuquerque
person.familyNameGerassis Davite
person.familyNameFernandez
person.familyNameRibeiro
person.givenNameCristina Maria
person.givenNameNatália
person.givenNameMaria Teresa
person.givenNameSaki
person.givenNamePaulo
person.givenNameMaria Margarida
person.identifieruser=YnBEv3oAAAAJ&hl=en
person.identifierNatália Martins Roque
person.identifier349097
person.identifier.ciencia-id9311-1EE5-AB03
person.identifier.ciencia-id451A-332D-0798
person.identifier.ciencia-id5A1C-8956-4C0A
person.identifier.ciencia-id9E1E-1C0B-0DCB
person.identifier.ciencia-idAD12-4D32-7A48
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6906-6660
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-8859-4365
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8782-6133
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9249-6407
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-7252-8320
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4684-1262
person.identifier.ridB-1536-2013
person.identifier.ridM-4235-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id36952993700
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57200227653
person.identifier.scopus-author-id55507421600
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57193055708
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56675313500
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7201715611
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationf5b24ce6-b4ff-49ab-8b2d-03de91f7a84d
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationfaca1743-7a98-4404-acef-ab73a684d3c2
relation.isAuthorOfPublicatione2c2d171-e148-4c23-9cf8-0eb6d810c15e
relation.isAuthorOfPublication7e107da3-c55e-4ae5-9ce4-f039be62b611
relation.isAuthorOfPublication5e1d8c87-88c5-43c5-8c23-e854f00bcb1c
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationf5b33ec3-9c90-4cc9-b0c4-c86c7ec0b017
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryf5b24ce6-b4ff-49ab-8b2d-03de91f7a84d

Files

Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Thumbnail Image
Name:
forests-11-00880-v2.pdf
Size:
2.08 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Download

Collections

ESACB - Artigos em revistas com arbitragem científica