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Connecting present and future soil erosion risk in the upper Tagus river region of Portugal

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dc.contributor.authorDuarte, A.C.
dc.contributor.authorQuinta-Nova, L. C.
dc.contributor.authorMonteiro, M.C.H.
dc.date.accessioned2025-10-24T15:39:16Z
dc.date.available2025-10-24T15:39:16Z
dc.date.issued2025en_US
dc.date.updated2025-10-20T11:41:16Z
dc.descriptionAutor correspondente: Duarte, António Canatário.
dc.description.abstractSoil water erosion causes soil degradation, affecting its fertility and, consequently, leading to the loss of its productive capacity and may contribute to a process of desertification. Countries in the Mediterranean basin are under the influence of a climate pattern that is unfavorable to maintaining effective soil cover, with peak precipitation events occurring, and an increase in soil erosion rates is expected in changing scenarios. Climate, where the occurrence of extreme meteorological phenomena will be more frequent. The aim of this study is to evaluate the present situation and estimate the future soil erosion risk of in the upper region of the Portuguese part of the Tagus River basin, where agricultural use and livestock activities are dominant in soils that are highly susceptible to erosion. The soil loss estimation was carried out for the current situation and for the climatic conditions projected for 2050, considering two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). We use the RUSLE methodology to determine the risk of soil water erosion. Although annual precipitation decreases for both RCPs, the erosivity index will increase in both scenarios. Our findings provide insights into the consequences of socioeconomic development options on physical land degradation and loss. To understand the process of soil water erosion, using modeling and other tools, is very important for the design of policy instruments that minimize the effects of climate change on soil.eng
dc.description.versionN/A
dc.identifier.citationDUARTE, A.C. ; QUINTA-NOVA, L.C. ; MONTEIRO, M.C.H. (2025) - Connecting present and future soil erosion risk in the upper Tagus river region of Portugal. In Recent research on environmental earth sciences, geomorphology, soil science, paleoclimate, and karst. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-86866-5_1
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/978-3-031-86866-5_1en_US
dc.identifier.isbn9783031868658en_US
dc.identifier.isbn9783031868665en_US
dc.identifier.slugcv-prod-4580595
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/10339
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherSpringer Nature
dc.rights.uriN/A
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectLand cover
dc.subjectRainfall
dc.subjectSoil loss
dc.titleConnecting present and future soil erosion risk in the upper Tagus river region of Portugalen_US
dc.typebook parten_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage8
oaire.citation.startPage3
oaire.citation.titleRecent research on environmental earth sciences, geomorphology, soil science, paleoclimate, and karst
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameCANATÁRIO DUARTE
person.familyNameQuinta-Nova
person.familyNameMonteiro
person.givenNameANTÓNIO
person.givenNameLuís
person.givenNameM.C.H.
person.identifier.ciencia-id0717-AB48-E1A3
person.identifier.ciencia-id7E1C-426F-DCFF
person.identifier.ciencia-id5D12-6B5C-23F1
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0319-378X
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8464-7527
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-0101-1599
person.identifier.ridO-2888-2014
person.identifier.scopus-author-id54901177900
person.identifier.scopus-author-id36094927600
rcaap.cv.cienciaid0717-AB48-E1A3 | ANTÓNIO Canatário Duarte
rcaap.rightsrestrictedAccessen_US
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationff1ed167-3f68-4e2b-b092-aaa0eb28ae6b
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationf0595f24-cf61-4057-b388-e919e88a0fb4
relation.isAuthorOfPublication00f17bad-649e-4953-a3a4-dd8c48b67f05
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryff1ed167-3f68-4e2b-b092-aaa0eb28ae6b

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