Repository logo
 
Publication

Trend forecasting in swimming world records and in the age of world record holders

2024Journal article Open access
Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorCosta, Mário
dc.contributor.authorQuinta-Nova, L.C.
dc.contributor.authorFerreira, Sandra
dc.contributor.authorCosta, Aldo M.
dc.contributor.authorSantos, Catarina Costa
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-03T12:10:28Z
dc.date.available2025-01-03T12:10:28Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractThis study aimed to forecast trends in swimming world records (WRs) and in the age of record holders. A total of 566 individual freestyle WRs (290 for males and 276 for females) were retrieved from open access websites. The frequency of observations in WRs in each decade and event was computed for males and females. The swimmers’ chronological age was converted into decimal age at the time of breaking the world record. ARIMA forecasting models and exponential smoothing techniques were used to examine historical trends and predict future observations. The WRs improved over time, and there was a nuanced pattern in the age of world record holders. While certain events (50 m and 100 m) showed swimmers achieving records at older ages, others (e.g., 200 m, 400 m, 800 m, and 1500 m) displayed variations. Forecasting shows a continuing improvement in WRs in the upcoming years, with the age of male world record holders stabilizing in shorter events and decreasing in longer distance ones, while for females, general stabilization should be expected for the majority of competitive events.pt_PT
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work was supported by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT), I.P., under the funding programs UIDP/05913/2020 (https://doi.org/10.54499/UIDB/05913/2020), UIDB04045/2020 and UIDP/MAT/00212/2020.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationCOSTA, Mário [et al.] (2024) - Trend forecasting in swimming world records and in the age of world record holders. Applied Sciences. 14:20, p. 9492. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/app14209492pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/app14209492pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn2076-3417
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.11/9253
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherMDPIpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectSwimmerspt_PT
dc.subjectPerformancept_PT
dc.subjectPredictionpt_PT
dc.titleTrend forecasting in swimming world records and in the age of world record holderspt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue14pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleApplied Sciencespt_PT
oaire.citation.volume20pt_PT
person.familyNameCosta
person.familyNameQuinta-Nova
person.familyNameFerreira
person.familyNameM. Costa
person.familyNameSantos
person.givenNameMário
person.givenNameLuís
person.givenNameSandra
person.givenNameAldo
person.givenNameCatarina Costa
person.identifier896755
person.identifier1199725
person.identifier.ciencia-idC210-1290-9402
person.identifier.ciencia-id7E1C-426F-DCFF
person.identifier.ciencia-idE01A-BAE7-2B14
person.identifier.ciencia-id0A15-F655-DDDE
person.identifier.ciencia-id6A11-CC31-D84E
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-5502-1202
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8464-7527
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9209-7772
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-0296-9707
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4592-8091
person.identifier.ridO-2888-2014
person.identifier.scopus-author-id36094927600
person.identifier.scopus-author-id35518382800
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57204212833
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationadd47497-f852-4936-84be-c103a56091b8
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationf0595f24-cf61-4057-b388-e919e88a0fb4
relation.isAuthorOfPublication08728272-1324-47a4-a843-d4eee196e36e
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationf8fa393d-96fa-47a9-8989-57dc27290ff8
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationf0b5eeee-f30d-4885-aba9-10bc5a916c70
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery08728272-1324-47a4-a843-d4eee196e36e

Files

Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Thumbnail Image
Name:
applsci-14-09492.pdf
Size:
2.35 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Download
License bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
license.txt
Size:
2.02 KB
Format:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Description:
Download

Collections

ESACB - Artigos em revistas com arbitragem científica